FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira - Liga Pro - Journee 30 - samedi 20 avril 2024 à 10:00
Stade : Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)
Score final : FC Penafiel 1-1 Paços de Ferreira
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Paços de Ferreira favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme avait prévu Paços de Ferreira favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour FC Penafiel, 1.5 pour Paços de Ferreira. Paços de Ferreira a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire FC Penafiel | 29% | 2,90 | -5,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 34% | 3,30 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Paços de Ferreira | 38% | 2,49 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Penafiel marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,38 | -7,0% |
| Paços de Ferreira marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,33 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,89 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,81 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,37 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,00 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 20% | 3,95 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,86 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,19 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour FC Penafiel vs Paços de Ferreira :
| Statistique | FC Penafiel | Paços de Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,24 | 1,48 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 11 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 3 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46 | 68 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Penafiel | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -8 | 34 | 1.33 | WDWLLD | 4.9/10 |
| Paços de Ferreira | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 44 | 1.52 | WWDWWD | 7.8/10 |
Coming into this game, FC Penafiel has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. FC Penafiel has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le FC Penafiel enchaîne une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
FC Penafiel has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
FC Penafiel has fired blanks in 12 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for FC Penafiel has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/29 games for FC Penafiel this season.
Coming into this game, Paços de Ferreira has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Paços de Ferreira has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Paços de Ferreira away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Paços de Ferreira when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can FC Penafiel stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Paços de Ferreira as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Paços de Ferreira has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Paços de Ferreira is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Penafiel, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Paços de Ferreira has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/29 games for Paços de Ferreira this season.
It's likely that Paços de Ferreira will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
FC Penafiel a fait match nul contre Paços de Ferreira 1-1 en Liga Pro le samedi 20 avril 2024 à 10:00 au Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel). xG du match : 1.2 pour FC Penafiel, 1.5 pour Paços de Ferreira. Possession : 50% pour FC Penafiel, 50% pour Paços de Ferreira. Tirs : 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour FC Penafiel, 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Paços de Ferreira. Indice de forme : FC Penafiel 4.9/10, Paços de Ferreira 7.8/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 0 victoire FC Penafiel, 2 nuls, 5 victoires Paços de Ferreira.
Score final : FC Penafiel 1-1 Paços de Ferreira. L'algorithme avait prevu Paços de Ferreira (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.