Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães - Liga Portugal - Journee 30 - dimanche 21 avril 2024 à 19:30
Stade : Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Score final : Sporting CP 3-0 Vitória Guimarães
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting CP favori avec 84% de chances de victoire (nul 11%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Sporting CP, 0.7 pour Vitória Guimarães. Sporting CP a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting CP ✓ | 84% | 1,30 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 11% | 5,00 | -9,0% |
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães | 5% | 8,00 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 95% | 1,02 | -3,0% |
| Vitória Guimarães marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,91 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,00 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,75 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,13 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,62 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,25 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,20 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,60 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães :
| Statistique | Sporting CP | Vitória Guimarães |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,39 | 0,74 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 0 |
| Possession | 64% | 36% |
| Tirs | 10 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 2 |
| Corners | 5 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 63 | 29 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | +57 | 77 | 1.85 | WWDWWW | 2/10 |
| Vitória Guimarães | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | +16 | 57 | 1.48 | DLWLLW | 8.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting CP has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sporting CP has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting CP is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 14 games that they have played at home.
Le Sporting CP aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Sporting CP has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 14 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Sporting CP as they have now gone 16 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Sporting CP is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Vitória Guimarães, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Sporting CP, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (59% of all matches) involving Sporting CP has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sporting CP will score today, as they have netted in the last 29 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Vitória Guimarães away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Vitória Guimarães when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Sporting CP stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Vitória Guimarães as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Vitória Guimarães is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sporting CP, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Vitória Guimarães, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (55% of all matches) involving Vitória Guimarães has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Vitória Guimarães will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Sporting CP a battu Vitória Guimarães 3-0 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 21 avril 2024 à 19:30 au Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa). xG du match : 1.4 pour Sporting CP, 0.7 pour Vitória Guimarães. Possession : 64% pour Sporting CP, 36% pour Vitória Guimarães. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Sporting CP, 7 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães. Indice de forme : Sporting CP 2/10, Vitória Guimarães 8.6/10. Sur 27 confrontations directes : 16 victoires Sporting CP, 7 nuls, 4 victoires Vitória Guimarães.
Score final : Sporting CP 3-0 Vitória Guimarães. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting CP (84%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.