Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe - Süper Lig - Journee 30 - dimanche 17 mars 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Papara Park (Trabzon)
Score final : Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 61% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Trabzonspor, 1.2 pour Fenerbahçe. Fenerbahçe a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Trabzonspor | 17% | 4,75 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,00 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Fenerbahçe ✓ | 61% | 1,70 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,42 | -11,0% |
| Fenerbahçe marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,11 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,70 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,12 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,19 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,65 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 32% | 2,74 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,10 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,43 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe :
| Statistique | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,04 | 1,17 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 3 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 8 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 6 |
| Corners | 10 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 33 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +10 | 49 | 1.47 | WWLWWW | 6.9/10 |
| Fenerbahçe | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | +53 | 76 | 1.96 | DWDWWW | 9.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Trabzonspor has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Trabzonspor has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Trabzonspor est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont gagné leurs 3 derniers matchs joués à la maison.
Fenerbahçe's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Trabzonspor from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Trabzonspor has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Trabzonspor will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fenerbahçe, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Trabzonspor has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/29 games for Trabzonspor this season.
It's likely that Trabzonspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Fenerbahçe and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 8 and is unbeaten in 14 away trips. Can Trabzonspor end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Fenerbahçe when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Trabzonspor stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Fenerbahçe as they have now gone 18 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Fenerbahçe ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Trabzonspor, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fenerbahçe, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (55% of all matches) involving Fenerbahçe has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fenerbahçe will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Trabzonspor a perdu contre Fenerbahçe 2-3 en Süper Lig le dimanche 17 mars 2024 à 17:30 au Papara Park (Trabzon). xG du match : 1.0 pour Trabzonspor, 1.2 pour Fenerbahçe. Possession : 58% pour Trabzonspor, 42% pour Fenerbahçe. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Trabzonspor, 8 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe. Indice de forme : Trabzonspor 6.9/10, Fenerbahçe 9.6/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Trabzonspor, 8 nuls, 6 victoires Fenerbahçe.
Score final : Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (61%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.