Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart - Bundesliga - Journee 31 - samedi 27 avril 2024 à 16:30
Stade : BayArena (Leverkusen)
Score final : Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Bayer Leverkusen favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme avait prévu Bayer Leverkusen favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Bayer Leverkusen, 1.2 pour Stuttgart. Bayer Leverkusen a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Bayer Leverkusen | 55% | 1,81 | 0,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 24% | 4,21 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Stuttgart | 20% | 3,91 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,09 | -6,0% |
| Stuttgart marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,36 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,57 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,25 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,18 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,53 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 36% | 2,25 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,30 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,57 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart :
| Statistique | Bayer Leverkusen | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,86 | 1,18 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 15 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 5 |
| Corners | 5 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 68 | 26 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | +55 | 80 | 1.99 | WWWWWD | 9/10 |
| Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | +32 | 63 | 1.68 | WLDWWW | 7.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Bayer Leverkusen has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Bayer Leverkusen has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bayer Leverkusen is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Bayer Leverkusen at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 15 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Stuttgart's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Bayer Leverkusen from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Bayer Leverkusen as they have now gone 30 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Bayer Leverkusen is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Stuttgart, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Bayer Leverkusen, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (50% of all matches) involving Bayer Leverkusen has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Bayer Leverkusen will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Stuttgart has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Stuttgart has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Stuttgart when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Bayer Leverkusen stop this run?
Stuttgart has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Stuttgart will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bayer Leverkusen, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Stuttgart has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/30 games for Stuttgart this season.
It's likely that Stuttgart will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Bayer Leverkusen a fait match nul contre Stuttgart 2-2 en Bundesliga le samedi 27 avril 2024 à 16:30 au BayArena (Leverkusen). xG du match : 1.9 pour Bayer Leverkusen, 1.2 pour Stuttgart. Possession : 49% pour Bayer Leverkusen, 51% pour Stuttgart. Tirs : 15 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Bayer Leverkusen, 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Stuttgart. Indice de forme : Bayer Leverkusen 9/10, Stuttgart 7.4/10. Sur 33 confrontations directes : 22 victoires Bayer Leverkusen, 6 nuls, 5 victoires Stuttgart.
Score final : Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart. L'algorithme avait prevu Bayer Leverkusen (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.