Cádiz vs FC Barcelona - La Liga - Journee 31 - samedi 13 avril 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cádiz)
Score final : Cádiz 0-1 FC Barcelona
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit FC Barcelona favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Cádiz, 1.2 pour FC Barcelona. Cádiz a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Cádiz | 25% | 5,20 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,90 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire FC Barcelona ✓ | 44% | 1,58 | -19,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,48 | -3,0% |
| FC Barcelona marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,18 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,80 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,95 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,33 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,95 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 3,60 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,83 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Cádiz vs FC Barcelona :
| Statistique | Cádiz | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,22 | 1,18 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 15 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 3 |
| Corners | 8 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 36 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | -19 | 25 | 1.13 | LDDWLW | 4.4/10 |
| FC Barcelona | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | +27 | 67 | 1.71 | WWDWWW | 9.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Cádiz has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Cádiz has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cádiz has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
FC Barcelona's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Cádiz from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 6 home matches this season.
Cádiz will be looking to keep up the momentum today against FC Barcelona, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Cádiz has fired blanks in 15 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Cádiz has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/30 games for Cádiz this season.
Coming into this game, FC Barcelona has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. FC Barcelona has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from FC Barcelona away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 14 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for FC Barcelona as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
FC Barcelona has kept 5 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 0 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
FC Barcelona is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Cádiz, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for FC Barcelona has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/30 games for FC Barcelona this season.
Cádiz a perdu contre FC Barcelona 0-1 en La Liga le samedi 13 avril 2024 à 19:00 au Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cádiz). xG du match : 1.2 pour Cádiz, 1.2 pour FC Barcelona. Possession : 38% pour Cádiz, 62% pour FC Barcelona. Tirs : 15 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Cádiz, 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour FC Barcelona. Indice de forme : Cádiz 4.4/10, FC Barcelona 9.3/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Cádiz, 2 nuls, 3 victoires FC Barcelona.
Score final : Cádiz 0-1 FC Barcelona. L'algorithme avait prevu FC Barcelona (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.