Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 31 - dimanche 28 avril 2024 à 11:30
Stade : Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nürnberg)
Score final : Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Karlsruher SC favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Nürnberg, 1.5 pour Karlsruher SC. Karlsruher SC a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Nürnberg | 22% | 3,13 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 2,48 | -12,0% |
| Victoire Karlsruher SC ✓ | 50% | 2,60 | +12,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,25 | -17,0% |
| Karlsruher SC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,13 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,42 | -19,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,60 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,15 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,41 | -22,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 2,10 | -21,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,49 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,60 | +10,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC :
| Statistique | Nürnberg | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,91 | 1,54 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 44% | 56% |
| Tirs | 9 | 21 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 3 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 34 | 59 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nürnberg | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -18 | 37 | 1.26 | LLLLWL | 0.7/10 |
| Karlsruher SC | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +16 | 46 | 1.57 | DWWWLW | 6.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Nürnberg has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Nürnberg has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Nürnberg ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Nürnberg turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Nürnberg recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Nürnberg has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/30 games for Nürnberg this season.
Nürnberg will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 1.27 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Karlsruher SC has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Karlsruher SC has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Karlsruher SC has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Karlsruher SC as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Karlsruher SC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Nürnberg, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Karlsruher SC, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 19 matches (63% of all matches) involving Karlsruher SC has seen BTTS landing.
Nürnberg a perdu contre Karlsruher SC 0-1 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 28 avril 2024 à 11:30 au Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nürnberg). xG du match : 0.9 pour Nürnberg, 1.5 pour Karlsruher SC. Possession : 44% pour Nürnberg, 56% pour Karlsruher SC. Tirs : 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Nürnberg, 21 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Karlsruher SC. Indice de forme : Nürnberg 0.7/10, Karlsruher SC 6.4/10. Sur 18 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Nürnberg, 5 nuls, 8 victoires Karlsruher SC.
Score final : Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC. L'algorithme avait prevu Karlsruher SC (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.