Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers - Championship - Journee 32 - mardi 13 février 2024 à 19:45
Stade : St Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
Score final : Birmingham City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Birmingham City favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Birmingham City, 1.1 pour Blackburn Rovers. Birmingham City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Birmingham City ✓ | 38% | 2,61 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,49 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Blackburn Rovers | 30% | 2,70 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,21 | -9,0% |
| Blackburn Rovers marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,28 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,58 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,20 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,18 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,63 | -15,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 2,25 | -20,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,19 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,57 | +12,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers :
| Statistique | Birmingham City | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,66 | 1,08 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 19 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 32 | 1.30 | LLWDDW | 2.4/10 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | -11 | 36 | 1.44 | DLDLWL | 2.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Birmingham City has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Birmingham City has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Birmingham City has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Birmingham City recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Birmingham City has fired blanks in 11 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Birmingham City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/30 games for Birmingham City this season.
Birmingham City will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1.13 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Blackburn Rovers has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Blackburn Rovers has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 16 games for Blackburn Rovers ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Blackburn Rovers has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Blackburn Rovers has seen a total of 20/30 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that Blackburn Rovers will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Birmingham City a battu Blackburn Rovers 1-0 en Championship le mardi 13 février 2024 à 19:45 au St Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham). xG du match : 1.7 pour Birmingham City, 1.1 pour Blackburn Rovers. Possession : 53% pour Birmingham City, 47% pour Blackburn Rovers. Tirs : 19 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Birmingham City, 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Blackburn Rovers. Indice de forme : Birmingham City 2.4/10, Blackburn Rovers 2.7/10. Sur 30 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Birmingham City, 10 nuls, 12 victoires Blackburn Rovers.
Score final : Birmingham City 1-0 Blackburn Rovers. L'algorithme avait prevu Birmingham City (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.