Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal - Premier League - Journee 32 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 16:30
Stade : American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Score final : Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Arsenal
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Arsenal favori avec 60% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Brighton & Hove Albion, 2.0 pour Arsenal. Arsenal a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Brighton & Hove Albion | 18% | 4,90 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 22% | 4,45 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Arsenal ✓ | 60% | 1,63 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,40 | -5,0% |
| Arsenal marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,09 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,62 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,20 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,18 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,71 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,38 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,12 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,58 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal :
| Statistique | Brighton & Hove Albion | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,12 | 1,99 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 3 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 11 | 21 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 8 |
| Corners | 8 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46 | 60 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 43 | 1.65 | WDLWLD | 4.2/10 |
| Arsenal | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | +48 | 68 | 1.79 | WWWWWW | 9.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Brighton & Hove Albion has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Brighton & Hove Albion has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Brighton & Hove Albion at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 12 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Arsenal's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Brighton & Hove Albion from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Brighton & Hove Albion has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 22/29 games for Brighton & Hove Albion this season.
Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 17 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Arsenal away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Arsenal has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Brighton & Hove Albion, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 17 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/29 games for Arsenal this season.
Brighton & Hove Albion a perdu contre Arsenal 0-3 en Premier League le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 16:30 au American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex). xG du match : 1.1 pour Brighton & Hove Albion, 2.0 pour Arsenal. Possession : 54% pour Brighton & Hove Albion, 46% pour Arsenal. Tirs : 11 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Brighton & Hove Albion, 21 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Arsenal. Indice de forme : Brighton & Hove Albion 4.2/10, Arsenal 9.4/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Brighton & Hove Albion, 3 nuls, 7 victoires Arsenal.
Score final : Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Arsenal. L'algorithme avait prevu Arsenal (60%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.