Crystal Palace vs Manchester City - Premier League - Journee 32 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 11:30
Stade : Selhurst Park (London)
Score final : Crystal Palace 2-4 Manchester City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Manchester City favori avec 80% de chances de victoire (nul 13%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Crystal Palace, 2.2 pour Manchester City. Manchester City a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Crystal Palace | 7% | 11,00 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 13% | 5,70 | -5,0% |
| Victoire Manchester City ✓ | 80% | 1,31 | +4,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,75 | -4,0% |
| Manchester City marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,08 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,95 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,80 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,21 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,69 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,68 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 2,23 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,50 | -16,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Crystal Palace vs Manchester City :
| Statistique | Crystal Palace | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,95 | 2,21 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 4 |
| Possession | 24% | 76% |
| Tirs | 8 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 9 |
| Corners | 2 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 21 | 86 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -16 | 30 | 1.25 | WWDWWW | 3.3/10 |
| Manchester City | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | +38 | 67 | 1.98 | WWWWWW | 7.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Crystal Palace has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Crystal Palace has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Crystal Palace aime jouer à domicile ces derniers temps, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
Manchester City's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Crystal Palace from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
In the last 5 matches for Crystal Palace, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 19 matches (63% of all matches) involving Crystal Palace has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Manchester City has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Manchester City has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Manchester City away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Manchester City when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Crystal Palace stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Manchester City as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Manchester City has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Manchester City is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Crystal Palace, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Manchester City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 18/29 games for Manchester City this season.
Crystal Palace a perdu contre Manchester City 2-4 en Premier League le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 11:30 au Selhurst Park (London). xG du match : 0.9 pour Crystal Palace, 2.2 pour Manchester City. Possession : 24% pour Crystal Palace, 76% pour Manchester City. Tirs : 8 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Crystal Palace, 19 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Manchester City. Indice de forme : Crystal Palace 3.3/10, Manchester City 7.9/10. Sur 24 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Crystal Palace, 4 nuls, 17 victoires Manchester City.
Score final : Crystal Palace 2-4 Manchester City. L'algorithme avait prevu Manchester City (80%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.