Fulham vs Newcastle United - Premier League - Journee 32 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Craven Cottage (London)
Score final : Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fulham favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Fulham favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Fulham, 1.4 pour Newcastle United. Fulham a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fulham | 46% | 2,70 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,50 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Newcastle United ✓ | 28% | 2,45 | -13,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 83% | 1,18 | -2,0% |
| Newcastle United marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,20 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,44 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 40% | 2,63 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 81% | 1,13 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,51 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,20 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,33 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,67 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fulham vs Newcastle United :
| Statistique | Fulham | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,74 | 1,44 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 67% | 33% |
| Tirs | 15 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 14 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 95 | 36 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 39 | 1.45 | WLDDLW | 5.3/10 |
| Newcastle United | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | +12 | 44 | 1.53 | DLWLWD | 4.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Fulham has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fulham has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Newcastle United's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fulham from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 5 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 9 games involving Fulham has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Newcastle United get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Fulham, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Fulham, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (48% of all matches) involving Fulham has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fulham will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Newcastle United has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Newcastle United has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Newcastle United when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Fulham stop this run?
Newcastle United a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Newcastle United ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Newcastle United, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (60% of all matches) involving Newcastle United has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Newcastle United will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Fulham a perdu contre Newcastle United 0-1 en Premier League le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 14:00 au Craven Cottage (London). xG du match : 1.7 pour Fulham, 1.4 pour Newcastle United. Possession : 67% pour Fulham, 33% pour Newcastle United. Tirs : 15 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Fulham, 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Newcastle United. Indice de forme : Fulham 5.3/10, Newcastle United 4.5/10. Sur 22 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Fulham, 3 nuls, 11 victoires Newcastle United.
Score final : Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United. L'algorithme avait prevu Fulham (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.