Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 32 - samedi 4 mai 2024 à 11:00
Stade : Ostseestadion (Rostock)
Score final : Hansa Rostock 1-2 Karlsruher SC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Karlsruher SC favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Hansa Rostock, 1.6 pour Karlsruher SC. Hansa Rostock a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hansa Rostock | 23% | 2,87 | -12,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Karlsruher SC ✓ | 47% | 2,10 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,22 | -18,0% |
| Karlsruher SC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,17 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,48 | -18,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 50% | 2,45 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,18 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,57 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 2,25 | -19,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 2,43 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,57 | +11,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hansa Rostock vs Karlsruher SC :
| Statistique | Hansa Rostock | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,7 | 1,56 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 42% | 58% |
| Tirs | 18 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 43 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | -24 | 31 | 1.21 | WLWLLL | 1.8/10 |
| Karlsruher SC | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +17 | 49 | 1.57 | DWWWLW | 8/10 |
Coming into this game, Hansa Rostock has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Hansa Rostock has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Hansa Rostock recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Hansa Rostock has fired blanks in 14 games this season. That's 45% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Hansa Rostock has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/31 games for Hansa Rostock this season.
Hansa Rostock will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 0.87 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Karlsruher SC has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Karlsruher SC has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Karlsruher SC has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Karlsruher SC as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Karlsruher SC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Hansa Rostock, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Karlsruher SC, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 19 matches (61% of all matches) involving Karlsruher SC has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Karlsruher SC will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Hansa Rostock a perdu contre Karlsruher SC 1-2 en 2. Bundesliga le samedi 4 mai 2024 à 11:00 au Ostseestadion (Rostock). xG du match : 1.7 pour Hansa Rostock, 1.6 pour Karlsruher SC. Possession : 42% pour Hansa Rostock, 58% pour Karlsruher SC. Tirs : 18 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Hansa Rostock, 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Karlsruher SC. Indice de forme : Hansa Rostock 1.8/10, Karlsruher SC 8/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Hansa Rostock, 7 nuls, 4 victoires Karlsruher SC.
Score final : Hansa Rostock 1-2 Karlsruher SC. L'algorithme avait prevu Karlsruher SC (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.