Manchester United vs Liverpool - Premier League - Journee 32 - dimanche 7 avril 2024 à 14:30
Stade : Old Trafford (Manchester)
Score final : Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Liverpool favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme avait prévu Liverpool favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Manchester United, 2.5 pour Liverpool. Liverpool a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Manchester United | 27% | 4,33 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 26% | 4,75 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Liverpool | 47% | 1,62 | -15,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,25 | -6,0% |
| Liverpool marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,08 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,40 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,08 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,30 | -15,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 40% | 1,83 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 38% | 3,33 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,95 | +9,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Manchester United vs Liverpool :
| Statistique | Manchester United | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,2 | 2,47 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 38% | 62% |
| Tirs | 10 | 30 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 8 |
| Corners | 6 | 11 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 38 | 90 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | -1 | 48 | 1.49 | WLLWDL | 3.3/10 |
| Liverpool | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | +42 | 70 | 1.99 | WLDWDW | 9.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Manchester United has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Manchester United has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Liverpool's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Manchester United from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Manchester United a enchaîné une bonne série de résultats et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Manchester United ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Manchester United, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 15 matches (52% of all matches) involving Manchester United has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Manchester United will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Liverpool has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Liverpool has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Liverpool has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Liverpool when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 14 games they have played on the road. Can Manchester United stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Liverpool as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Liverpool is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Manchester United, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Liverpool, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (69% of all matches) involving Liverpool has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Liverpool will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Manchester United a fait match nul contre Liverpool 2-2 en Premier League le dimanche 7 avril 2024 à 14:30 au Old Trafford (Manchester). xG du match : 1.2 pour Manchester United, 2.5 pour Liverpool. Possession : 38% pour Manchester United, 62% pour Liverpool. Tirs : 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Manchester United, 30 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Liverpool. Indice de forme : Manchester United 3.3/10, Liverpool 9.2/10. Sur 42 confrontations directes : 18 victoires Manchester United, 9 nuls, 15 victoires Liverpool.
Score final : Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool. L'algorithme avait prevu Liverpool (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.