AC Milan vs Inter Milan - Serie A - Journee 33 - lundi 22 avril 2024 à 18:45
Stade : Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
Score final : AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Inter Milan favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour AC Milan, 1.1 pour Inter Milan. AC Milan a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire AC Milan | 24% | 2,93 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,54 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Inter Milan ✓ | 48% | 2,33 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,33 | -10,0% |
| Inter Milan marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,17 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,62 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,20 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,22 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,82 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 2,75 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,99 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,44 | +4,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour AC Milan vs Inter Milan :
| Statistique | AC Milan | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,74 | 1,12 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 52% | 48% |
| Tirs | 16 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 4 |
| Corners | 5 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 58 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | +26 | 69 | 1.53 | WWWWWD | 9/10 |
| Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | +60 | 83 | 1.65 | WWDWWD | 7.7/10 |
Coming into this game, AC Milan has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. AC Milan has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from AC Milan at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Inter Milan's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop AC Milan from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 10 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for AC Milan as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving AC Milan has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Inter Milan get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for AC Milan, both home and away.
AC Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Inter Milan, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for AC Milan, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (56% of all matches) involving AC Milan has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that AC Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 21 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Avant d'aborder cette rencontre, l'Inter Milan a récolté 11 points lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, à domicile comme à l'extérieur. Cela fait une moyenne de 2.2 points par match. Les deux équipes ont marqué (BTTS) dans 3 de ces matchs intrigants. L'Inter Milan a marqué 8 buts lors de ses 5 dernières rencontres.
Incredible away form is being show by Inter Milan and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 6 and is unbeaten in 15 away trips. Can AC Milan end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Inter Milan when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 15 games they have played on the road. Can AC Milan stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Inter Milan as they have now gone 26 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que l'on voie quelques buts ici, les 4 derniers matchs de l'Inter Milan s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Inter Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against AC Milan, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Inter Milan, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (41% of all matches) involving Inter Milan has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Inter Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 32 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
AC Milan a perdu contre Inter Milan 1-2 en Serie A le lundi 22 avril 2024 à 18:45 au Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano). xG du match : 1.7 pour AC Milan, 1.1 pour Inter Milan. Possession : 52% pour AC Milan, 48% pour Inter Milan. Tirs : 16 (dont 7 cadrés) pour AC Milan, 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Inter Milan. Indice de forme : AC Milan 9/10, Inter Milan 7.7/10. Sur 39 confrontations directes : 10 victoires AC Milan, 8 nuls, 21 victoires Inter Milan.
Score final : AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan. L'algorithme avait prevu Inter Milan (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.