Biélorussie vs Albanie - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 17:00
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Albanie est favori de ce match avec 38% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Biélorussie | 33% | 3,88 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,38 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Albanie | 38% | 1,99 | -12,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biélorussie marque (HS) | 72% | - | - |
| Albanie marque (AS) | 75% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 54% | 2,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 46% | 1,73 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 74% | 1,40 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 50% | 2,29 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 28% | 4,07 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 50% | 1,68 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 72% | 1,22 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Biélorussie vs Albanie :
| Statistique | Biélorussie | Albanie |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,38 | 1,96 |
| Buts marqués | 1,4 | 2 |
| Possession | 46,2% | 58,4% |
| Tirs | 11 | 18,4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3,8 | 5,8 |
| Corners | 3,4 | 6,4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57,2 | 54,2 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biélorussie | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 | 1.38 | DLDWWW | 6.7/10 |
| Albanie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | 1.96 | LWWLWW | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Belarus has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Belarus has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Belarus will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Belarus as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Belarus has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Belarus will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Albania, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Belarus recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Belarus has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Belarus has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/5 games for Belarus this season.
Coming into this game, Albania has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Albania has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Albania has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Albania ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Albania has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Albania will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Belarus, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Albania has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Albania this season.
It's likely that Albania will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Biélorussie affronte Albanie en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 17:00. xG moyen : 1.4 pour Biélorussie, 2.0 pour Albanie. Buts moyens/match : 1.4 pour Biélorussie, 2 pour Albanie. Possession : 46.2% pour Biélorussie, 58.4% pour Albanie. Tirs : 11 (dont 3.8 cadrés) pour Biélorussie, 18.4 (dont 5.8 cadrés) pour Albanie. Indice de forme : Biélorussie 6.7/10, Albanie 6.2/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Biélorussie, 0 nul, 3 victoires Albanie.
Notre algorithme favorise Albanie (38%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.