Chypre vs Monténégro - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 14:00
Stade : Alphamega Stadium
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Monténégro est favori de ce match avec 44% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Chypre | 28% | 3,25 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,35 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Monténégro | 44% | 2,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chypre marque (HS) | 68% | - | - |
| Monténégro marque (AS) | 77% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 53% | - | - |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 47% | - | - |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 74% | - | - |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 49% | - | - |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 27% | - | - |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 51% | - | - |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 73% | - | - |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Chypre vs Monténégro :
| Statistique | Chypre | Monténégro |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,44 | 1,7 |
| Buts marqués | 1,2 | 1,8 |
| Possession | 45,4% | 54,4% |
| Tirs | 13,2 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4,4 | 5,2 |
| Corners | 4,8 | 5,8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41,6 | 53,4 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chypre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 1.44 | LLDWWD | 4.2/10 |
| Monténégro | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 13 | 1.70 | WWWWDW | 8.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Cyprus has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Cyprus has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cyprus will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Cyprus as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Cyprus will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Montenegro, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Cyprus, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (60% of all matches) involving Cyprus has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Montenegro has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Montenegro has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Montenegro has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Montenegro as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Montenegro is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Cyprus, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Montenegro, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Montenegro has seen BTTS landing.
Chypre affronte Monténégro en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 14:00 au Alphamega Stadium. xG moyen : 1.4 pour Chypre, 1.7 pour Monténégro. Buts moyens/match : 1.2 pour Chypre, 1.8 pour Monténégro. Possession : 45.4% pour Chypre, 54.4% pour Monténégro. Tirs : 13.2 (dont 4.4 cadrés) pour Chypre, 15 (dont 5.2 cadrés) pour Monténégro. Indice de forme : Chypre 4.2/10, Monténégro 8.6/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Chypre, 1 nul, 3 victoires Monténégro.
Notre algorithme favorise Monténégro (44%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.