Finlande vs Saint-Marin - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 17:00
Stade : Bolt Arena
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Finlande est favori de ce match avec 83% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Finlande | 83% | - | - |
| Match nul | 12% | - | - |
| Victoire Saint-Marin | 5% | - | - |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finlande marque (HS) | 92% | - | - |
| Saint-Marin marque (AS) | 40% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 37% | - | - |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 63% | - | - |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 81% | - | - |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 59% | - | - |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 37% | - | - |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 41% | - | - |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 63% | - | - |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Finlande vs Saint-Marin :
| Statistique | Finlande | Saint-Marin |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,57 | 0,67 |
| Buts marqués | 1,8 | 0,2 |
| Possession | 62,8% | 32,6% |
| Tirs | 14 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3,8 | 1,8 |
| Corners | 4,8 | 2,4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 56,4 | 21,8 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finlande | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 7 | 1.57 | LWDWLL | 3/10 |
| Saint-Marin | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 | 0.67 | WLLLLL | 0.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Finland has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Finland has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Finland has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Finland recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Finland has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 9 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Finland has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/5 games for Finland this season.
Finland will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 9 times and overall this season they have scored 1.8 goals per game.
Coming into this game, San Marino has picked up 0 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. San Marino has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for San Marino ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
San Marino peut-il inverser la tendance ? Ils n'ont pas gagné lors de leurs 5 derniers matchs avant celui-ci, avec 0 match nul et 5 défaites.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for San Marino recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
San Marino has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 80% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for San Marino has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/5 games for San Marino this season.
Finlande affronte Saint-Marin en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 17:00 au Bolt Arena. xG moyen : 1.6 pour Finlande, 0.7 pour Saint-Marin. Buts moyens/match : 1.8 pour Finlande, 0.2 pour Saint-Marin. Possession : 62.8% pour Finlande, 32.6% pour Saint-Marin. Tirs : 14 (dont 3.8 cadrés) pour Finlande, 6 (dont 1.8 cadrés) pour Saint-Marin. Indice de forme : Finlande 3/10, Saint-Marin 0.1/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Finlande, 0 nul, 0 victoire Saint-Marin.
Notre algorithme favorise Finlande (83%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.