Hongrie vs Irlande du Nord - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Hongrie est favori de ce match avec 48% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hongrie | 48% | 1,90 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,20 | -5,0% |
| Victoire Irlande du Nord | 26% | 4,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hongrie marque (HS) | 81% | 1,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Irlande du Nord marque (AS) | 70% | 1,55 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 57% | 2,10 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 43% | 1,67 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 78% | 1,47 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 55% | 2,51 | +15,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 33% | 4,89 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 45% | 1,53 | -20,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 67% | 1,14 | -21,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hongrie vs Irlande du Nord :
| Statistique | Hongrie | Irlande du Nord |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,58 | 1,38 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 51,6% | 35,6% |
| Tirs | 15,2 | 12,4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4,2 | 4,2 |
| Corners | 4,8 | 3,4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hongrie | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 | 1.58 | DLDWWW | 5.2/10 |
| Irlande du Nord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 | 1.38 | DWDWDW | 7.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Hungary has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Hungary has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Hungary as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Hungary has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Hungary will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Northern Ireland, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour la Hongrie récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou aligner un autre attaquant ?
Hungary has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Hungary has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/5 games for Hungary this season.
Coming into this game, Northern Ireland has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Northern Ireland has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Northern Ireland has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Northern Ireland as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Northern Ireland has kept 5 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 0 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Northern Ireland is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Hungary, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour l'Irlande du Nord récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Northern Ireland has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Northern Ireland has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/5 games for Northern Ireland this season.
Hongrie affronte Irlande du Nord en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45. xG moyen : 1.6 pour Hongrie, 1.4 pour Irlande du Nord. Buts moyens/match : 1 pour Hongrie, 1 pour Irlande du Nord. Possession : 51.6% pour Hongrie, 35.6% pour Irlande du Nord. Tirs : 15.2 (dont 4.2 cadrés) pour Hongrie, 12.4 (dont 4.2 cadrés) pour Irlande du Nord. Indice de forme : Hongrie 5.2/10, Irlande du Nord 7.2/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Hongrie, 2 nuls, 1 victoire Irlande du Nord.
Notre algorithme favorise Hongrie (48%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.