Lettonie vs Arménie - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 14:00
Stade : Stadions Skonto
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Arménie est favori de ce match avec 56% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Lettonie | 19% | 3,00 | -14,0% |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,45 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Arménie | 56% | 2,41 | +15,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lettonie marque (HS) | 59% | - | - |
| Arménie marque (AS) | 82% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 49% | - | - |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 51% | - | - |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 74% | - | - |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 49% | - | - |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 27% | - | - |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 51% | - | - |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 73% | - | - |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Lettonie vs Arménie :
| Statistique | Lettonie | Arménie |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,05 | 1,66 |
| Buts marqués | 0,6 | 1 |
| Possession | 43,4% | 56,8% |
| Tirs | 10,8 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 1,8 | 4,4 |
| Corners | 4 | 7,2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 33,4 | 56 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lettonie | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 1 | 1.05 | LLDLLL | 0.9/10 |
| Arménie | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 1.66 | WWLLDD | 2.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Latvia has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Latvia has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Latvia has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Armenia get in on the action today? There has been a total of 11 goals in the last 5 games for Latvia, both home and away.
Can Latvia turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour la Lettonie récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer de tactique aujourd'hui ou faire entrer un autre attaquant ?
Latvia has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 3 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Latvia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (60% of all matches) involving Latvia has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Armenia has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Armenia has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Armenia has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Armenia recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Armenia has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Armenia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Armenia this season.
Lettonie affronte Arménie en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 14:00 au Stadions Skonto. xG moyen : 1.1 pour Lettonie, 1.7 pour Arménie. Buts moyens/match : 0.6 pour Lettonie, 1 pour Arménie. Possession : 43.4% pour Lettonie, 56.8% pour Arménie. Tirs : 10.8 (dont 1.8 cadrés) pour Lettonie, 15 (dont 4.4 cadrés) pour Arménie. Indice de forme : Lettonie 0.9/10, Arménie 2.1/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Lettonie, 0 nul, 4 victoires Arménie.
Notre algorithme favorise Arménie (56%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.