Irlande vs Kosovo - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45
Stade : Aviva Stadium
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Irlande est favori de ce match avec 43% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Irlande | 43% | 1,95 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,24 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Kosovo | 30% | 4,10 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Irlande marque (HS) | 79% | 1,24 | -2,0% |
| Kosovo marque (AS) | 72% | 1,61 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 56% | 2,10 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 44% | 1,67 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 77% | 1,46 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 53% | 2,45 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 31% | 5,00 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 47% | 1,53 | -18,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 69% | 1,15 | -18,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Irlande vs Kosovo :
| Statistique | Irlande | Kosovo |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,25 | 1,57 |
| Buts marqués | 1,2 | 0,6 |
| Possession | 44,2% | 48,4% |
| Tirs | 10,8 | 14,4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3,6 | 4,2 |
| Corners | 4,4 | 3,4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 42,8 | 50,4 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irlande | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 1.25 | LLWDDL | 4/10 |
| Kosovo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 1.57 | WWLDDD | 4.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Republic of Ireland has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Republic of Ireland has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Republic of Ireland has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Republic of Ireland will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Republic of Ireland recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Republic of Ireland has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Republic of Ireland has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Republic of Ireland this season.
Coming into this game, Kosovo has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Kosovo has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Kosovo has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Le Kosovo a gardé 3 clean sheets (matchs sans encaisse) lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, concédant 4 buts durant cette période. Globalement cette saison, leur défense a gardé sa cage inviolée à 3 reprises.
Kosovo will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Republic of Ireland, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Kosovo recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Kosovo has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Kosovo has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Kosovo this season.
Irlande affronte Kosovo en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45 au Aviva Stadium. xG moyen : 1.3 pour Irlande, 1.6 pour Kosovo. Buts moyens/match : 1.2 pour Irlande, 0.6 pour Kosovo. Possession : 44.2% pour Irlande, 48.4% pour Kosovo. Tirs : 10.8 (dont 3.6 cadrés) pour Irlande, 14.4 (dont 4.2 cadrés) pour Kosovo. Indice de forme : Irlande 4/10, Kosovo 4.6/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Irlande, 0 nul, 1 victoire Kosovo.
Notre algorithme favorise Irlande (43%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.