Ukraine vs Géorgie - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Ukraine est favori de ce match avec 44% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Ukraine | 44% | 2,05 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,31 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Géorgie | 29% | 3,25 | -2,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine marque (HS) | 78% | 1,27 | -1,0% |
| Géorgie marque (AS) | 68% | 1,45 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 47% | 1,92 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 74% | 1,35 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 49% | 2,01 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 27% | 3,90 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 51% | 1,72 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 73% | 1,28 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Ukraine vs Géorgie :
| Statistique | Ukraine | Géorgie |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,11 | 1,1 |
| Buts marqués | 0,4 | 0 |
| Possession | 56% | 56,8% |
| Tirs | 10,4 | 9,4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2,2 | 3 |
| Corners | 3,2 | 5,8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 39,6 | 40,8 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 | 1.11 | WWDLLL | 0.8/10 |
| Géorgie | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 | 1.10 | LLDLDL | 2.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Ukraine has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Ukraine has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Ukraine recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Ukraine has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Ukraine has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/5 games for Ukraine this season.
Coming into this game, Georgia has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Georgia has scored 0 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Georgia turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Georgia recently, with the side failing to score in 5 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Georgia has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 100% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 0 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Georgia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/5 games for Georgia this season.
Georgia will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 5 matches. During the last five games they have scored 0 times and overall this season they have scored 0 goals per game.
Ukraine affronte Géorgie en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45. xG moyen : 1.1 pour Ukraine, 1.1 pour Géorgie. Buts moyens/match : 0.4 pour Ukraine, 0 pour Géorgie. Possession : 56% pour Ukraine, 56.8% pour Géorgie. Tirs : 10.4 (dont 2.2 cadrés) pour Ukraine, 9.4 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Géorgie. Indice de forme : Ukraine 0.8/10, Géorgie 2.1/10. Sur 4 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Ukraine, 2 nuls, 0 victoire Géorgie.
Notre algorithme favorise Ukraine (44%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.