Real Betis vs Real Madrid - La Liga - Journee 16 - samedi 9 décembre 2023 à 15:15
Stade : Estadio Benito Villamarín (Sevilla)
Score final : Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Real Madrid favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Real Betis, 1.2 pour Real Madrid. Real Betis a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Betis | 27% | 4,80 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 28% | 4,15 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Real Madrid | 45% | 1,70 | -14,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,44 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Real Madrid marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,16 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,70 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,05 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,25 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,73 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 35% | 3,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,12 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,40 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Betis vs Real Madrid :
| Statistique | Real Betis | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,56 | 1,23 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 16 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 7 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 52 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 25 | 1.28 | DWWDWD | 6.8/10 |
| Real Madrid | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 38 | 1.82 | WWWWDD | 8.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Betis has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Betis has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Betis est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont remporté leurs 4 derniers matchs joués à domicile.
Superb stuff from Real Betis at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Real Madrid's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Betis from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Betis as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Betis has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Real Betis is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Real Madrid, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Betis has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/15 games for Real Betis this season.
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Madrid has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Real Madrid when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Real Betis stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Real Betis, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/15 games for Real Madrid this season.
Real Betis a fait match nul contre Real Madrid 1-1 en La Liga le samedi 9 décembre 2023 à 15:15 au Estadio Benito Villamarín (Sevilla). xG du match : 1.6 pour Real Betis, 1.2 pour Real Madrid. Possession : 37% pour Real Betis, 63% pour Real Madrid. Tirs : 16 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Real Betis, 14 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Real Madrid. Indice de forme : Real Betis 6.8/10, Real Madrid 8.9/10. Sur 24 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Real Betis, 5 nuls, 15 victoires Real Madrid.
Score final : Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.