Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona - La Liga - Journee 23 - samedi 3 février 2024 à 17:30
Stade : Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Score final : Deportivo Alavés 1-3 FC Barcelona
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit FC Barcelona favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Deportivo Alavés, 1.2 pour FC Barcelona. Deportivo Alavés a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Deportivo Alavés | 22% | 6,26 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 4,32 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire FC Barcelona ✓ | 48% | 1,60 | -15,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,55 | -5,0% |
| FC Barcelona marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,14 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,80 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,95 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,28 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 1,83 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 22% | 3,10 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,98 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 78% | 1,38 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona :
| Statistique | Deportivo Alavés | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,37 | 1,16 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 3 |
| Possession | 36% | 64% |
| Tirs | 14 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 6 |
| Corners | 13 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 56 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 26 | 1.32 | LLDWWW | 5.8/10 |
| FC Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 47 | 1.83 | DWWWLW | 6.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Deportivo Alavés has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Deportivo Alavés has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Deportivo Alavés as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Deportivo Alavés will be looking to keep up the momentum today against FC Barcelona, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Deportivo Alavés has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 8 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Deportivo Alavés has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/22 games for Deportivo Alavés this season.
It's likely that Deportivo Alavés will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, FC Barcelona has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. FC Barcelona has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from FC Barcelona away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for FC Barcelona when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 9 games they have played on the road. Can Deportivo Alavés stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for FC Barcelona ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
FC Barcelona will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Deportivo Alavés, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
The last 5 games for FC Barcelona has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season FC Barcelona has seen a total of 14/21 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that FC Barcelona will score today, as they have netted in the last 20 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Deportivo Alavés a perdu contre FC Barcelona 1-3 en La Liga le samedi 3 février 2024 à 17:30 au Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz). xG du match : 1.4 pour Deportivo Alavés, 1.2 pour FC Barcelona. Possession : 36% pour Deportivo Alavés, 64% pour FC Barcelona. Tirs : 14 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Deportivo Alavés, 9 (dont 6 cadrés) pour FC Barcelona. Indice de forme : Deportivo Alavés 5.8/10, FC Barcelona 6.8/10. Sur 14 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Deportivo Alavés, 2 nuls, 11 victoires FC Barcelona.
Score final : Deportivo Alavés 1-3 FC Barcelona. L'algorithme avait prevu FC Barcelona (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.