Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona - La Liga - Journee 32 - dimanche 21 avril 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Score final : Real Madrid 3-2 FC Barcelona
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Real Madrid, 1.8 pour FC Barcelona. Les deux équipes ont créé des occasions similaires.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Madrid ✓ | 39% | 1,70 | -20,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 4,10 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire FC Barcelona | 30% | 4,50 | +8,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,12 | -12,0% |
| FC Barcelona marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,30 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,53 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,17 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,49 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 28% | 2,33 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 2,32 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,61 | +10,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona :
| Statistique | Real Madrid | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,77 | 1,77 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 16 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 7 |
| Corners | 2 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 54 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | +47 | 78 | 1.81 | WWWWDD | 9.5/10 |
| FC Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +28 | 70 | 1.70 | WDWWWW | 9.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Real Madrid est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont remporté les 4 derniers matchs qu'ils ont joués à domicile.
Superb stuff from Real Madrid at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 15 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
FC Barcelona's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Madrid from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 10 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 25 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 16 occasions.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Barcelona, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/31 games for Real Madrid this season.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 19 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, FC Barcelona has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. FC Barcelona has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from FC Barcelona away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 15 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for FC Barcelona as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
FC Barcelona has kept 5 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 0 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 14 occasions.
FC Barcelona is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Real Madrid, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for FC Barcelona has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/31 games for FC Barcelona this season.
It's likely that FC Barcelona will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Real Madrid a battu FC Barcelona 3-2 en La Liga le dimanche 21 avril 2024 à 19:00 au Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid). xG du match : 1.8 pour Real Madrid, 1.8 pour FC Barcelona. Possession : 47% pour Real Madrid, 53% pour FC Barcelona. Tirs : 16 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Real Madrid, 16 (dont 7 cadrés) pour FC Barcelona. Indice de forme : Real Madrid 9.5/10, FC Barcelona 9.4/10. Sur 50 confrontations directes : 17 victoires Real Madrid, 8 nuls, 25 victoires FC Barcelona.
Score final : Real Madrid 3-2 FC Barcelona. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.